Model read: Jordan Addison projects 49 rec yds (median), 6.7 under the 55.5 line — the model leans under. Its yards projection is lifted most by how many teammates are also drawing targets (+7.6 yds) and pulled down by projected game total and pass rate (-2.3 yds). Soft spot: a volatile role. Research signal — not a bet.
| Week | Opp | Yds | Tgt | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | TB | 90 | 9 | OVER |
| Wk 2 | CHI | 21 | 5 | UNDER |
| Wk 1 | GB | 0 | 2 | UNDER |
| 25 wk18 | GB | 8 | 3 | UNDER |
| 25 wk17 | DET | 0 | 1 | UNDER |
| 25 wk16 | NYG | 26 | 3 | UNDER |
| 25 wk15 | DAL | 66 | 2 | OVER |
| 25 wk14 | WAS | 62 | 7 | OVER |
| 25 wk13 | SEA | 36 | 10 | UNDER |
| 25 wk12 | GB | 0 | 1 | UNDER |
Graded against this week's 55.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.
Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.