How often has Jonathan Taylor gone over 2.5 receptions?

Jonathan Taylor has cleared 2.5 receptions in 6 of his last 10 games (spanning two seasons).

What is Jonathan Taylor's receptions line in Week 4?

Jonathan Taylor's Week 4 receptions line is 2.5 against WAS. The ProprStats model projects 2 (median).

Jonathan Taylor Receptions Prop — Week 4

RB · IND vs WAS · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 1

6 of 10cleared 2.5 receptions in his last 10 (two seasons)

2.5Week 4 line

2Model median

44%Model over

64ProprScore

Model read: Jonathan Taylor projects 2 catches (median), 0.5 under the 2.5 line — the model leans under. Research signal — not a bet.

Jonathan Taylor vs the 2.5 line — last 10 games

Week	Opp	Rec	Tgt	Result
Wk 3	HOU	2	3	UNDER
Wk 2	KC	4	4	OVER
Wk 1	BAL	3	4	OVER
25 wk18	HOU	2	2	UNDER
25 wk17	JAX	3	6	OVER
25 wk16	SF	3	3	OVER
25 wk15	SEA	3	4	OVER
25 wk14	JAX	0	0	UNDER
25 wk13	HOU	3	5	OVER
25 wk12	KC	2	3	UNDER

Graded against this week's 2.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

11.1%Share of team throws

3.5Targets / game

86%Routes run

-1Avg depth of target

22.3Yards / game

86%Snap share

Jonathan Taylor's other Week 4 props

Receiving YardsLine 19.5 Anytime TouchdownLine 0.5

More NFL prop research

TD ZoneScoring field map, red-zone target share, goal-line usage Props BoardEvery Week 4 prop ranked Jonathan Taylor overviewAll props, usage and matchup

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.