Jonathan Taylor Receiving Yards Prop — Week 4

RB · IND vs WAS · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 1

4 of 10cleared 19.5 receiving yards in his last 10 (two seasons)
19.5Week 4 line
18.7Model median
48%Model over
45ProprScore

Model read: Jonathan Taylor projects 19 rec yds (median), 0.8 under the 19.5 line — the model leans under. Its yards projection is lifted most by his team's pass volume vs. last season (+2.3 yds) and pulled down by how many teammates are also drawing targets (-2.1 yds). Research signal — not a bet.

Jonathan Taylor vs the 19.5 line — last 10 games

WeekOppYdsTgtResult
Wk 3HOU43UNDER
Wk 2KC404OVER
Wk 1BAL234OVER
25 wk18HOU132UNDER
25 wk17JAX146UNDER
25 wk16SF333OVER
25 wk15SEA144UNDER
25 wk14JAX00UNDER
25 wk13HOU365OVER
25 wk12KC83UNDER

Graded against this week's 19.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

11.1%Share of team throws
3.5Targets / game
86%Routes run
-1Avg depth of target
22.3Yards / game
86%Snap share

Jonathan Taylor's other Week 4 props

More NFL prop research

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.