How often has Jaylin Noel gone over 1.5 receptions?

Jaylin Noel has cleared 1.5 receptions in 4 of his last 10 games (spanning two seasons).

What is Jaylin Noel's receptions line in Week 4?

Jaylin Noel's Week 4 receptions line is 1.5 against DAL. The ProprStats model projects 1 (median).

Jaylin Noel Receptions Prop — Week 4

WR · HOU vs DAL · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 2

4 of 10cleared 1.5 receptions in his last 10 (two seasons)

1.5Week 4 line

1Model median

48%Model over

60ProprScore

Model read: Jaylin Noel projects 1 catches (median), 0.5 under the 1.5 line — the model leans under. Soft spot: a thin sample. Research signal — not a bet.

Jaylin Noel vs the 1.5 line — last 10 games

Week	Opp	Rec	Tgt	Result
Wk 3	IND	2	2	OVER
Wk 2	CIN	1	5	UNDER
Wk 1	BUF	2	2	OVER
25 wk18	IND	1	1	UNDER
25 wk17	LAC	3	4	OVER
25 wk16	LV	0	0	UNDER
25 wk15	ARI	0	0	UNDER
25 wk14	KC	2	2	OVER
25 wk13	IND	0	1	UNDER
25 wk12	BUF	1	2	UNDER

Graded against this week's 1.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

7.2%Share of team throws

2.5Targets / game

32%Routes run

9.2Avg depth of target

25.4Yards / game

32%Snap share

Jaylin Noel's other Week 4 props

Receiving YardsLine 12.5

More NFL prop research

TD ZoneScoring field map, red-zone target share, goal-line usage Props BoardEvery Week 4 prop ranked Jaylin Noel overviewAll props, usage and matchup

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.