How often has Jaylen Warren gone over 3.5 receptions?

Jaylen Warren has cleared 3.5 receptions in 2 of his last 10 games (spanning two seasons).

What is Jaylen Warren's receptions line in Week 4?

Jaylen Warren's Week 4 receptions line is 3.5 against CLE. The ProprStats model projects 2 (median).

Jaylen Warren Receptions Prop — Week 4

RB · PIT vs CLE · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 1

2 of 10cleared 3.5 receptions in his last 10 (two seasons)

3.5Week 4 line

2Model median

27%Model over

78ProprScore

Model read: Jaylen Warren projects 2 catches (median), 1.5 under the 3.5 line — the model leans under. Research signal — not a bet.

Jaylen Warren vs the 3.5 line — last 10 games

Week	Opp	Rec	Tgt	Result
Wk 3	CIN	3	4	UNDER
Wk 2	NE	2	4	UNDER
Wk 1	ATL	5	6	OVER
25 wk18	BAL	5	5	OVER
25 wk17	CLE	0	0	UNDER
25 wk16	DET	2	2	UNDER
25 wk15	MIA	3	3	UNDER
25 wk14	BAL	3	3	UNDER
25 wk13	BUF	2	4	UNDER
25 wk12	CHI	0	0	UNDER

Graded against this week's 3.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

11.2%Share of team throws

3.7Targets / game

58%Routes run

-1.9Avg depth of target

28.7Yards / game

58%Snap share

Jaylen Warren's other Week 4 props

Receiving YardsLine 26.5 Anytime TouchdownLine 0.5

More NFL prop research

TD ZoneScoring field map, red-zone target share, goal-line usage Props BoardEvery Week 4 prop ranked Jaylen Warren overviewAll props, usage and matchup

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.