How often has Jameson Williams gone over 3.5 receptions?

Jameson Williams has cleared 3.5 receptions in 7 of his last 10 games (spanning two seasons).

What is Jameson Williams's receptions line in Week 4?

Jameson Williams's Week 4 receptions line is 3.5 against CAR. The ProprStats model projects 3 (median).

Jameson Williams Receptions Prop — Week 4

WR · DET vs CAR · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 1

7 of 10cleared 3.5 receptions in his last 10 (two seasons)

3.5Week 4 line

3Model median

44%Model over

50ProprScore

Model read: Jameson Williams projects 3 catches (median), 0.5 under the 3.5 line — the model leans under. Soft spot: a volatile role. Research signal — not a bet.

Jameson Williams vs the 3.5 line — last 10 games

Week	Opp	Rec	Tgt	Result
Wk 3	NYJ	4	4	OVER
Wk 2	BUF	2	4	UNDER
Wk 1	NO	4	9	OVER
25 wk18	CHI	6	8	OVER
25 wk17	MIN	2	3	UNDER
25 wk16	PIT	5	9	OVER
25 wk15	LA	7	10	OVER
25 wk14	DAL	7	9	OVER
25 wk13	GB	7	10	OVER
25 wk12	NYG	0	3	UNDER

Graded against this week's 3.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

17.1%Share of team throws

5.8Targets / game

89%Routes run

12.9Avg depth of target

54Yards / game

89%Snap share

Jameson Williams's other Week 4 props

Receiving YardsLine 51.5 Anytime TouchdownLine 0.5

More NFL prop research

TD ZoneScoring field map, red-zone target share, goal-line usage Props BoardEvery Week 4 prop ranked Jameson Williams overviewAll props, usage and matchup

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.