How often has Ja'Marr Chase gone over 6.5 receptions?

Ja'Marr Chase has cleared 6.5 receptions in 7 of his last 10 games (spanning two seasons).

What is Ja'Marr Chase's receptions line in Week 4?

Ja'Marr Chase's Week 4 receptions line is 6.5 against JAX. The ProprStats model projects 7 (median).

Ja'Marr Chase Receptions Prop — Week 4

WR · CIN vs JAX · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 1

7 of 10cleared 6.5 receptions in his last 10 (two seasons)

6.5Week 4 line

7Model median

56%Model over

40ProprScore

Model read: Ja'Marr Chase projects 7 catches (median), 0.5 over the 6.5 line — the model leans over. Soft spot: a volatile role. Research signal — not a bet.

Ja'Marr Chase vs the 6.5 line — last 10 games

Week	Opp	Rec	Tgt	Result
Wk 3	PIT	9	12	OVER
Wk 2	HOU	7	9	OVER
Wk 1	TB	2	4	UNDER
25 wk18	CLE	8	10	OVER
25 wk17	ARI	7	9	OVER
25 wk16	MIA	9	11	OVER
25 wk15	BAL	10	16	OVER
25 wk14	BUF	5	8	UNDER
25 wk13	BAL	7	14	OVER
25 wk11	PIT	3	10	UNDER

Graded against this week's 6.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

28.4%Share of team throws

9.9Targets / game

94%Routes run

8.5Avg depth of target

75Yards / game

94%Snap share

Ja'Marr Chase's other Week 4 props

Receiving YardsLine 81.5 Anytime TouchdownLine 0.5

More NFL prop research

TD ZoneScoring field map, red-zone target share, goal-line usage Props BoardEvery Week 4 prop ranked Ja'Marr Chase overviewAll props, usage and matchup

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.