Jahmyr Gibbs Receptions Prop — Week 4

RB · DET vs CAR · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 1

6 of 10cleared 4.5 receptions in his last 10 (two seasons)
4.5Week 4 line
4Model median
40%Model over
68ProprScore

Model read: Jahmyr Gibbs projects 4 catches (median), 0.5 under the 4.5 line — the model leans under. Research signal — not a bet.

Jahmyr Gibbs vs the 4.5 line — last 10 games

WeekOppRecTgtResult
Wk 3NYJ78OVER
Wk 2BUF68OVER
Wk 1NO55OVER
25 wk18CHI35UNDER
25 wk17MIN23UNDER
25 wk16PIT1013OVER
25 wk15LA47UNDER
25 wk14DAL77OVER
25 wk13GB34UNDER
25 wk12NYG1112OVER

Graded against this week's 4.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

18.3%Share of team throws
6.3Targets / game
71%Routes run
1.1Avg depth of target
44.1Yards / game
71%Snap share

Jahmyr Gibbs's other Week 4 props

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Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.