Jacory Croskey-Merritt Receptions Prop — Week 4

RB · WAS vs IND · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 3

0 of 10cleared 1.5 receptions in his last 10 (two seasons)
1.5Week 4 line
1Model median
27%Model over
66ProprScore

Model read: Jacory Croskey-Merritt projects 1 catches (median), 0.5 under the 1.5 line — the model leans under. Research signal — not a bet.

Jacory Croskey-Merritt vs the 1.5 line — last 10 games

WeekOppRecTgtResult
Wk 3SEA11UNDER
Wk 2DAL11UNDER
Wk 1PHI11UNDER
25 wk18PHI00UNDER
25 wk17DAL00UNDER
25 wk16PHI00UNDER
25 wk15NYG00UNDER
25 wk14MIN00UNDER
25 wk13DEN00UNDER
25 wk11MIA11UNDER

Graded against this week's 1.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

3.1%Share of team throws
0.9Targets / game
44%Routes run
-1.2Avg depth of target
2.8Yards / game
44%Snap share

Jacory Croskey-Merritt's other Week 4 props

More NFL prop research

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.