Model read: Jacory Croskey-Merritt projects 4 rec yds (median), 1.3 under the 5.5 line — the model leans under. Its yards projection is lifted most by average target depth and yards after the catch (+3.1 yds) and pulled down by how many teammates are also drawing targets (-0.7 yds). Research signal — not a bet.
| Week | Opp | Yds | Tgt | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | SEA | 7 | 1 | OVER |
| Wk 2 | DAL | 5 | 1 | UNDER |
| Wk 1 | PHI | -7 | 1 | UNDER |
| 25 wk18 | PHI | 0 | 0 | UNDER |
| 25 wk17 | DAL | 0 | 0 | UNDER |
| 25 wk16 | PHI | 0 | 0 | UNDER |
| 25 wk15 | NYG | 0 | 0 | UNDER |
| 25 wk14 | MIN | 0 | 0 | UNDER |
| 25 wk13 | DEN | 0 | 0 | UNDER |
| 25 wk11 | MIA | 5 | 1 | UNDER |
Graded against this week's 5.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.
Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.