Isaiah Williams Receptions Prop — Week 4

WR · NYJ vs CHI · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 2

5 of 10cleared 2.5 receptions in his last 10 (two seasons)
2.5Week 4 line
2Model median
44%Model over
56ProprScore

Model read: Isaiah Williams projects 2 catches (median), 0.5 under the 2.5 line — the model leans under. Soft spot: a volatile role. Research signal — not a bet.

Isaiah Williams vs the 2.5 line — last 10 games

WeekOppRecTgtResult
Wk 3DET12UNDER
Wk 2GB66OVER
Wk 1TEN11UNDER
25 wk18BUF57OVER
25 wk17NE45OVER
25 wk16NO44OVER
25 wk15JAX67OVER
25 wk14MIA23UNDER
25 wk13ATL01UNDER
25 wk12BAL00UNDER

Graded against this week's 2.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

9.2%Share of team throws
2.7Targets / game
57%Routes run
3.8Avg depth of target
16.8Yards / game
57%Snap share

Isaiah Williams's other Week 4 props

More NFL prop research

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.