How often has Isaiah Likely gone over 3.5 receptions?

Isaiah Likely has cleared 3.5 receptions in 4 of his last 10 games (spanning two seasons).

What is Isaiah Likely's receptions line in Week 4?

Isaiah Likely's Week 4 receptions line is 3.5 against ARI. The ProprStats model projects 2 (median).

Isaiah Likely Receptions Prop — Week 4

TE · NYG vs ARI · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 1

4 of 10cleared 3.5 receptions in his last 10 (two seasons)

3.5Week 4 line

2Model median

31%Model over

80ProprScore

Model read: Isaiah Likely projects 2 catches (median), 1.5 under the 3.5 line — the model leans under. Research signal — not a bet.

Isaiah Likely vs the 3.5 line — last 10 games

Week	Opp	Rec	Tgt	Result
Wk 3	TEN	2	5	UNDER
Wk 2	LA	5	10	OVER
Wk 1	DAL	8	8	OVER
25 wk18	PIT	2	2	UNDER
25 wk17	GB	3	3	UNDER
25 wk16	NE	0	0	UNDER
25 wk14	PIT	4	6	OVER
25 wk13	CIN	5	6	OVER
25 wk12	NYJ	1	3	UNDER
25 wk11	CLE	2	3	UNDER

Graded against this week's 3.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

18.1%Share of team throws

5.3Targets / game

62%Routes run

6.9Avg depth of target

33.5Yards / game

62%Snap share

Isaiah Likely's other Week 4 props

Receiving YardsLine 39.5

More NFL prop research

TD ZoneScoring field map, red-zone target share, goal-line usage Props BoardEvery Week 4 prop ranked Isaiah Likely overviewAll props, usage and matchup

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.