How often has Isaiah Likely gone over 39.5 receiving yards?

Isaiah Likely has cleared 39.5 receiving yards in 2 of his last 10 games (spanning two seasons).

What is Isaiah Likely's receiving yards line in Week 4?

Isaiah Likely's Week 4 receiving yards line is 39.5 against ARI. The ProprStats model projects 25.1 (median).

Isaiah Likely Receiving Yards Prop — Week 4

TE · NYG vs ARI · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 1

2 of 10cleared 39.5 receiving yards in his last 10 (two seasons)

39.5Week 4 line

25.1Model median

29%Model over

76ProprScore

Model read: Isaiah Likely projects 25 rec yds (median), 14.4 under the 39.5 line — the model leans under. Its yards projection is lifted most by his team's pass volume vs. last season (+7.3 yds) and pulled down by less certain of his role after the move (-9.6 yds). Research signal — not a bet.

Isaiah Likely vs the 39.5 line — last 10 games

Week	Opp	Yds	Tgt	Result
Wk 3	TEN	13	5	UNDER
Wk 2	LA	33	10	UNDER
Wk 1	DAL	78	8	OVER
25 wk18	PIT	32	2	UNDER
25 wk17	GB	27	3	UNDER
25 wk16	NE	0	0	UNDER
25 wk14	PIT	25	6	UNDER
25 wk13	CIN	95	6	OVER
25 wk12	NYJ	10	3	UNDER
25 wk11	CLE	15	3	UNDER

Graded against this week's 39.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

18.1%Share of team throws

5.3Targets / game

62%Routes run

6.9Avg depth of target

33.5Yards / game

62%Snap share

Isaiah Likely's other Week 4 props

ReceptionsLine 3.5

More NFL prop research

TD ZoneScoring field map, red-zone target share, goal-line usage Props BoardEvery Week 4 prop ranked Isaiah Likely overviewAll props, usage and matchup

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.