George Kittle Receptions Prop — Week 4

TE · SF vs DEN · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 1

7 of 10cleared 4.5 receptions in his last 10 (two seasons)
4.5Week 4 line
4Model median
38%Model over
75ProprScore

Model read: George Kittle projects 4 catches (median), 0.5 under the 4.5 line — the model leans under. Research signal — not a bet.

George Kittle vs the 4.5 line — last 10 games

WeekOppRecTgtResult
Wk 3ARI67OVER
Wk 2MIA44UNDER
Wk 1LA25UNDER
25 wk18SEA57OVER
25 wk16IND78OVER
25 wk15TEN89OVER
25 wk13CLE45UNDER
25 wk12CAR610OVER
25 wk11ARI66OVER
25 wk10LA99OVER

Graded against this week's 4.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

20.8%Share of team throws
5.8Targets / game
70%Routes run
7.8Avg depth of target
57.5Yards / game
70%Snap share

George Kittle's other Week 4 props

More NFL prop research

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.