Model read: George Kittle projects 39 rec yds (median), 25.7 under the 64.5 line — the model leans under. Its yards projection is lifted most by his team's pass volume vs. last season (+1.3 yds) and pulled down by average target depth and yards after the catch (-5.1 yds). Research signal — not a bet.
| Week | Opp | Yds | Tgt | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | ARI | 82 | 7 | OVER |
| Wk 2 | MIA | 80 | 4 | OVER |
| Wk 1 | LA | 12 | 5 | UNDER |
| 25 wk18 | SEA | 29 | 7 | UNDER |
| 25 wk16 | IND | 115 | 8 | OVER |
| 25 wk15 | TEN | 88 | 9 | OVER |
| 25 wk13 | CLE | 67 | 5 | OVER |
| 25 wk12 | CAR | 78 | 10 | OVER |
| 25 wk11 | ARI | 67 | 6 | OVER |
| 25 wk10 | LA | 84 | 9 | OVER |
Graded against this week's 64.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.
Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.