Foster Moreau Receptions Prop — Week 4

TE · HOU vs DAL · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 2

5 of 10cleared 1.5 receptions in his last 10 (two seasons)
1.5Week 4 line
1Model median
38%Model over
43ProprScore

Model read: Foster Moreau projects 1 catches (median), 0.5 under the 1.5 line — the model leans under. Soft spot: a thin sample. Research signal — not a bet.

Foster Moreau vs the 1.5 line — last 10 games

WeekOppRecTgtResult
Wk 3IND24OVER
Wk 2CIN22OVER
Wk 1BUF22OVER
25 wk16NYJ11UNDER
25 wk14TB11UNDER
25 wk13MIA22OVER
25 wk12ATL01UNDER
25 wk10CAR23OVER
25 wk8TB01UNDER
25 wk6NE11UNDER

Graded against this week's 1.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

6.3%Share of team throws
2Targets / game
40%Routes run
2.6Avg depth of target
13.5Yards / game
40%Snap share

Foster Moreau's other Week 4 props

More NFL prop research

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.