Evan Engram Receptions Prop — Week 4

TE · DEN vs SF · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 1

5 of 10cleared 2.5 receptions in his last 10 (two seasons)
2.5Week 4 line
2Model median
46%Model over
39ProprScore

Model read: Evan Engram projects 2 catches (median), 0.5 under the 2.5 line — the model leans under. Research signal — not a bet.

Evan Engram vs the 2.5 line — last 10 games

WeekOppRecTgtResult
Wk 3LA02UNDER
Wk 2JAX11UNDER
Wk 1KC45OVER
25 wk18LAC34OVER
25 wk17KC44OVER
25 wk16JAX24UNDER
25 wk15GB13UNDER
25 wk14LV22UNDER
25 wk13WAS69OVER
25 wk11KC45OVER

Graded against this week's 2.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

11.4%Share of team throws
3.7Targets / game
50%Routes run
4.4Avg depth of target
24.4Yards / game
50%Snap share

Evan Engram's other Week 4 props

More NFL prop research

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.