Drew Sample Receptions Prop — Week 4

TE · CIN vs JAX · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 2

4 of 10cleared 1.5 receptions in his last 10 (two seasons)
1.5Week 4 line
2Model median
50%Model over
59ProprScore

Model read: Drew Sample projects 2 catches (median), 0.5 over the 1.5 line — the model leans over. Research signal — not a bet.

Drew Sample vs the 1.5 line — last 10 games

WeekOppRecTgtResult
Wk 3PIT12UNDER
Wk 1TB33OVER
25 wk18CLE33OVER
25 wk17ARI11UNDER
25 wk16MIA22OVER
25 wk15BAL22OVER
25 wk13BAL12UNDER
25 wk12NE11UNDER
25 wk7PIT00UNDER
25 wk6GB12UNDER

Graded against this week's 1.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

5.8%Share of team throws
2.1Targets / game
56%Routes run
0.1Avg depth of target
9.2Yards / game
56%Snap share

Drew Sample's other Week 4 props

More NFL prop research

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.