How often has Drew Sample gone over 7.5 receiving yards?

Drew Sample has cleared 7.5 receiving yards in 6 of his last 10 games (spanning two seasons).

What is Drew Sample's receiving yards line in Week 4?

Drew Sample's Week 4 receiving yards line is 7.5 against JAX. The ProprStats model projects 10.9 (median).

Drew Sample Receiving Yards Prop — Week 4

TE · CIN vs JAX · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 2

6 of 10cleared 7.5 receiving yards in his last 10 (two seasons)

7.5Week 4 line

10.9Model median

61%Model over

67ProprScore

Model read: Drew Sample projects 11 rec yds (median), 3.4 over the 7.5 line — the model leans over. Its yards projection is lifted most by average target depth and yards after the catch (+2.6 yds) and pulled down by projected game total and pass rate (-0.1 yds). Research signal — not a bet.

Drew Sample vs the 7.5 line — last 10 games

Week	Opp	Yds	Tgt	Result
Wk 3	PIT	0	2	UNDER
Wk 1	TB	19	3	OVER
25 wk18	CLE	17	3	OVER
25 wk17	ARI	8	1	OVER
25 wk16	MIA	31	2	OVER
25 wk15	BAL	12	2	OVER
25 wk13	BAL	14	2	OVER
25 wk12	NE	0	1	UNDER
25 wk7	PIT	0	0	UNDER
25 wk6	GB	-2	2	UNDER

Graded against this week's 7.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

5.8%Share of team throws

2.1Targets / game

56%Routes run

0.1Avg depth of target

9.2Yards / game

56%Snap share

Drew Sample's other Week 4 props

ReceptionsLine 1.5

More NFL prop research

TD ZoneScoring field map, red-zone target share, goal-line usage Props BoardEvery Week 4 prop ranked Drew Sample overviewAll props, usage and matchup

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.