Courtland Sutton Receptions Prop — Week 4

WR · DEN vs SF · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 1

6 of 10cleared 3.5 receptions in his last 10 (two seasons)
3.5Week 4 line
3Model median
49%Model over
51ProprScore

Model read: Courtland Sutton projects 3 catches (median), 0.5 under the 3.5 line — the model leans under. Soft spot: a volatile role. Research signal — not a bet.

Courtland Sutton vs the 3.5 line — last 10 games

WeekOppRecTgtResult
Wk 3LA37UNDER
Wk 2JAX34UNDER
Wk 1KC25UNDER
25 wk18LAC12UNDER
25 wk17KC410OVER
25 wk16JAX612OVER
25 wk15GB710OVER
25 wk14LV610OVER
25 wk13WAS56OVER
25 wk11KC48OVER

Graded against this week's 3.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

19.8%Share of team throws
6.3Targets / game
82%Routes run
11Avg depth of target
43.6Yards / game
82%Snap share

Courtland Sutton's other Week 4 props

More NFL prop research

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.