Colston Loveland Receptions Prop — Week 4

TE · CHI vs NYJ · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 1

6 of 10cleared 3.5 receptions in his last 10 (two seasons)
3.5Week 4 line
2Model median
22%Model over
76ProprScore

Model read: Colston Loveland projects 2 catches (median), 1.5 under the 3.5 line — the model leans under. Soft spot: a volatile role. Research signal — not a bet.

Colston Loveland vs the 3.5 line — last 10 games

WeekOppRecTgtResult
Wk 3PHI44OVER
Wk 2MIN13UNDER
Wk 1CAR02UNDER
25 wk18DET1013OVER
25 wk17SF610OVER
25 wk16GB35UNDER
25 wk15CLE45OVER
25 wk14GB45OVER
25 wk13PHI36UNDER
25 wk12PIT45OVER

Graded against this week's 3.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

13.3%Share of team throws
4.1Targets / game
76%Routes run
7.2Avg depth of target
27.9Yards / game
76%Snap share

Colston Loveland's other Week 4 props

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Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.