Model read: Colston Loveland projects 21 rec yds (median), 12.3 under the 33.5 line — the model leans under. Its yards projection is lifted most by yards per target the defense allows (+1.6 yds) and pulled down by how many teammates are also drawing targets (-3.3 yds). Soft spot: a volatile role. Research signal — not a bet.
| Week | Opp | Yds | Tgt | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | PHI | 31 | 4 | UNDER |
| Wk 2 | MIN | 3 | 3 | UNDER |
| Wk 1 | CAR | 0 | 2 | UNDER |
| 25 wk18 | DET | 91 | 13 | OVER |
| 25 wk17 | SF | 94 | 10 | OVER |
| 25 wk16 | GB | 30 | 5 | UNDER |
| 25 wk15 | CLE | 63 | 5 | OVER |
| 25 wk14 | GB | 29 | 5 | UNDER |
| 25 wk13 | PHI | 28 | 6 | UNDER |
| 25 wk12 | PIT | 49 | 5 | OVER |
Graded against this week's 33.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.
Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.