Chris Moore Receptions Prop — Week 4

WR · BAL vs TEN · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 3

7 of 10cleared 0.5 receptions in his last 10 (two seasons)
0.5Week 4 line
0Model median
41%Model over
65ProprScore

Model read: Chris Moore projects 0 catches (median), 0.5 under the 0.5 line — the model leans under. ⚠ Listed Questionable: ~69% play-probability, so the workload is trimmed and the outcomes carry real mass at zero — treat with caution. Soft spot: a volatile role. Research signal — not a bet.

Chris Moore vs the 0.5 line — last 10 games

WeekOppRecTgtResult
Wk 3DAL11OVER
Wk 2NO13OVER
Wk 1IND12OVER
25 wk17DAL11OVER
25 wk16PHI00UNDER
25 wk11MIA25OVER
25 wk10DET00UNDER
25 wk7DAL25OVER
25 wk6CHI35OVER
25 wk5LAC01UNDER

Graded against this week's 0.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

9.0%Share of team throws
2.1Targets / game
48%Routes run
21Avg depth of target
20.9Yards / game
48%Snap share

Chris Moore's other Week 4 props

More NFL prop research

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.