Model read: Chris Moore projects 0 rec yds (median), 7.5 under the 7.5 line — the model leans under. Its yards projection is lifted most by his team's pass volume vs. last season (+3.6 yds) and pulled down by his target share vs. last season (-8.9 yds). ⚠ Listed Questionable: ~69% play-probability, so the workload is trimmed and the outcomes carry real mass at zero — treat with caution. Soft spot: a volatile role. Research signal — not a bet.
| Week | Opp | Yds | Tgt | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | DAL | 4 | 1 | UNDER |
| Wk 2 | NO | 6 | 3 | UNDER |
| Wk 1 | IND | 53 | 2 | OVER |
| 25 wk17 | DAL | 15 | 1 | OVER |
| 25 wk16 | PHI | 0 | 0 | UNDER |
| 25 wk11 | MIA | 28 | 5 | OVER |
| 25 wk10 | DET | 0 | 0 | UNDER |
| 25 wk7 | DAL | 59 | 5 | OVER |
| 25 wk6 | CHI | 46 | 5 | OVER |
| 25 wk5 | LAC | 0 | 1 | UNDER |
Graded against this week's 7.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.
Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.