Chase Brown Receptions Prop — Week 4

RB · CIN vs JAX · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 1

5 of 10cleared 3.5 receptions in his last 10 (two seasons)
3.5Week 4 line
4Model median
52%Model over
58ProprScore

Model read: Chase Brown projects 4 catches (median), 0.5 over the 3.5 line — the model leans over. Research signal — not a bet.

Chase Brown vs the 3.5 line — last 10 games

WeekOppRecTgtResult
Wk 3PIT22UNDER
Wk 2HOU35UNDER
Wk 1TB56OVER
25 wk18CLE46OVER
25 wk17ARI33UNDER
25 wk16MIA44OVER
25 wk15BAL77OVER
25 wk14BUF34UNDER
25 wk13BAL77OVER
25 wk12NE24UNDER

Graded against this week's 3.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

13.6%Share of team throws
4.8Targets / game
69%Routes run
-0.8Avg depth of target
18.2Yards / game
69%Snap share

Chase Brown's other Week 4 props

More NFL prop research

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.