How often has Chase Brown gone over 19.5 receiving yards?

Chase Brown has cleared 19.5 receiving yards in 6 of his last 10 games (spanning two seasons).

What is Chase Brown's receiving yards line in Week 4?

Chase Brown's Week 4 receiving yards line is 19.5 against JAX. The ProprStats model projects 20.8 (median).

Chase Brown Receiving Yards Prop — Week 4

RB · CIN vs JAX · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 1

6 of 10cleared 19.5 receiving yards in his last 10 (two seasons)

19.5Week 4 line

20.8Model median

53%Model over

49ProprScore

Model read: Chase Brown projects 21 rec yds (median), 1.3 over the 19.5 line — the model leans over. Its yards projection is lifted most by average target depth and yards after the catch (+3.1 yds) and pulled down by projected game total and pass rate (-0.6 yds). Research signal — not a bet.

Chase Brown vs the 19.5 line — last 10 games

Week	Opp	Yds	Tgt	Result
Wk 3	PIT	8	2	UNDER
Wk 2	HOU	2	5	UNDER
Wk 1	TB	22	6	OVER
25 wk18	CLE	18	6	UNDER
25 wk17	ARI	40	3	OVER
25 wk16	MIA	43	4	OVER
25 wk15	BAL	37	7	OVER
25 wk14	BUF	12	4	UNDER
25 wk13	BAL	35	7	OVER
25 wk12	NE	23	4	OVER

Graded against this week's 19.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

13.6%Share of team throws

4.8Targets / game

69%Routes run

-0.8Avg depth of target

18.2Yards / game

69%Snap share

Chase Brown's other Week 4 props

ReceptionsLine 3.5 Anytime TouchdownLine 0.5

More NFL prop research

TD ZoneScoring field map, red-zone target share, goal-line usage Props BoardEvery Week 4 prop ranked Chase Brown overviewAll props, usage and matchup

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.