Calvin Ridley Receptions Prop — Week 4

WR · TEN vs BAL · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 2

5 of 9cleared 1.5 receptions in his last 9 (two seasons)
1.5Week 4 line
1Model median
50%Model over
52ProprScore

Model read: Calvin Ridley projects 1 catches (median), 0.5 under the 1.5 line — the model leans under. Soft spot: a volatile role. Research signal — not a bet.

Calvin Ridley vs the 1.5 line — last 9 games

WeekOppRecTgtResult
Wk 3NYG01UNDER
Wk 2PHI22OVER
25 wk11HOU11UNDER
25 wk6LV11UNDER
25 wk5ARI510OVER
25 wk4HOU23OVER
25 wk3IND17UNDER
25 wk2LA36OVER
25 wk1DEN48OVER

Graded against this week's 1.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

11.1%Share of team throws
3.3Targets / game
55%Routes run
12Avg depth of target
30.4Yards / game
55%Snap share

Calvin Ridley's other Week 4 props

More NFL prop research

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.