Model read: Calvin Ridley projects 18 rec yds (median), 10.3 over the 7.5 line — the model leans over. Its yards projection is lifted most by projected game total and pass rate (+1.3 yds) and pulled down by how many teammates are also drawing targets (-8.4 yds). Soft spot: a volatile role. Research signal — not a bet.
| Week | Opp | Yds | Tgt | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | NYG | 0 | 1 | UNDER |
| Wk 2 | PHI | 35 | 2 | OVER |
| 25 wk11 | HOU | 13 | 1 | OVER |
| 25 wk6 | LV | 18 | 1 | OVER |
| 25 wk5 | ARI | 131 | 10 | OVER |
| 25 wk4 | HOU | 30 | 3 | OVER |
| 25 wk3 | IND | 27 | 7 | OVER |
| 25 wk2 | LA | 57 | 6 | OVER |
| 25 wk1 | DEN | 27 | 8 | OVER |
Graded against this week's 7.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.
Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.