Bucky Irving Receptions Prop — Week 4

RB · TB vs GB · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 1

4 of 10cleared 2.5 receptions in his last 10 (two seasons)
2.5Week 4 line
3Model median
52%Model over
41ProprScore

Model read: Bucky Irving projects 3 catches (median), 0.5 over the 2.5 line — the model leans over. Research signal — not a bet.

Bucky Irving vs the 2.5 line — last 10 games

WeekOppRecTgtResult
Wk 3MIN24UNDER
Wk 2CLE44OVER
Wk 1CIN77OVER
25 wk18CAR12UNDER
25 wk17MIA56OVER
25 wk16CAR00UNDER
25 wk15ATL13UNDER
25 wk14NO23UNDER
25 wk13ARI22UNDER
25 wk4PHI55OVER

Graded against this week's 2.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

13.5%Share of team throws
4.2Targets / game
63%Routes run
-1.9Avg depth of target
24Yards / game
63%Snap share

Bucky Irving's other Week 4 props

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Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.