Brock Bowers Receptions Prop — Week 4

TE · LV vs KC · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 1

3 of 10cleared 6.5 receptions in his last 10 (two seasons)
6.5Week 4 line
6Model median
43%Model over
65ProprScore

Model read: Brock Bowers projects 6 catches (median), 0.5 under the 6.5 line — the model leans under. Soft spot: a volatile role. Research signal — not a bet.

Brock Bowers vs the 6.5 line — last 10 games

WeekOppRecTgtResult
Wk 3NO1013OVER
25 wk16HOU55UNDER
25 wk15PHI68UNDER
25 wk14DEN45UNDER
25 wk13LAC44UNDER
25 wk12CLE69UNDER
25 wk11DAL712OVER
25 wk10DEN13UNDER
25 wk9JAX1213OVER
25 wk4CHI56UNDER

Graded against this week's 6.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

33.5%Share of team throws
10.1Targets / game
83%Routes run
7.3Avg depth of target
86.3Yards / game
83%Snap share

Brock Bowers's other Week 4 props

More NFL prop research

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.