Model read: Brock Bowers projects 58 rec yds (median), 15.9 under the 73.5 line — the model leans under. Its yards projection is lifted most by his team's pass volume vs. last season (+8.3 yds) and pulled down by yards per target the defense allows (-37.7 yds). Soft spot: a volatile role. Research signal — not a bet.
| Week | Opp | Yds | Tgt | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | NO | 116 | 13 | OVER |
| 25 wk16 | HOU | 33 | 5 | UNDER |
| 25 wk15 | PHI | 28 | 8 | UNDER |
| 25 wk14 | DEN | 46 | 5 | UNDER |
| 25 wk13 | LAC | 63 | 4 | UNDER |
| 25 wk12 | CLE | 55 | 9 | UNDER |
| 25 wk11 | DAL | 72 | 12 | UNDER |
| 25 wk10 | DEN | 31 | 3 | UNDER |
| 25 wk9 | JAX | 127 | 13 | OVER |
| 25 wk4 | CHI | 46 | 6 | UNDER |
Graded against this week's 73.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.
Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.