Bijan Robinson Receptions Prop — Week 4

RB · ATL vs NO · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 1

5 of 10cleared 4.5 receptions in his last 10 (two seasons)
4.5Week 4 line
3Model median
31%Model over
52ProprScore

Model read: Bijan Robinson projects 3 catches (median), 1.5 under the 4.5 line — the model leans under. Soft spot: a volatile role. Research signal — not a bet.

Bijan Robinson vs the 4.5 line — last 10 games

WeekOppRecTgtResult
Wk 3GB22UNDER
Wk 2CAR34UNDER
Wk 1PIT810OVER
25 wk18NO33UNDER
25 wk17LA58OVER
25 wk16ARI711OVER
25 wk15TB811OVER
25 wk14SEA22UNDER
25 wk13NYJ57OVER
25 wk12NO22UNDER

Graded against this week's 4.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

20.9%Share of team throws
5.7Targets / game
72%Routes run
-0.4Avg depth of target
43.8Yards / game
72%Snap share

Bijan Robinson's other Week 4 props

More NFL prop research

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.