Model read: Bijan Robinson projects 31 rec yds (median), 8.6 under the 39.5 line — the model leans under. Its yards projection is lifted most by his team's pass volume vs. last season (+3.6 yds) and pulled down by how many teammates are also drawing targets (-5.4 yds). Soft spot: a volatile role. Research signal — not a bet.
| Week | Opp | Yds | Tgt | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | GB | 19 | 2 | UNDER |
| Wk 2 | CAR | 9 | 4 | UNDER |
| Wk 1 | PIT | 90 | 10 | OVER |
| 25 wk18 | NO | 10 | 3 | UNDER |
| 25 wk17 | LA | 34 | 8 | UNDER |
| 25 wk16 | ARI | 92 | 11 | OVER |
| 25 wk15 | TB | 82 | 11 | OVER |
| 25 wk14 | SEA | 8 | 2 | UNDER |
| 25 wk13 | NYJ | 51 | 7 | OVER |
| 25 wk12 | NO | 37 | 2 | UNDER |
Graded against this week's 39.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.
Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.