Ashton Jeanty Receptions Prop — Week 4

RB · LV vs KC · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 1

5 of 10cleared 3.5 receptions in his last 10 (two seasons)
3.5Week 4 line
3Model median
47%Model over
50ProprScore

Model read: Ashton Jeanty projects 3 catches (median), 0.5 under the 3.5 line — the model leans under. Soft spot: a volatile role. Research signal — not a bet.

Ashton Jeanty vs the 3.5 line — last 10 games

WeekOppRecTgtResult
Wk 3NO33UNDER
Wk 2LAC47OVER
Wk 1MIA66OVER
25 wk18KC35UNDER
25 wk17NYG22UNDER
25 wk16HOU12UNDER
25 wk15PHI46OVER
25 wk14DEN24UNDER
25 wk13LAC68OVER
25 wk12CLE88OVER

Graded against this week's 3.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

16.5%Share of team throws
4.8Targets / game
79%Routes run
0.3Avg depth of target
26.3Yards / game
79%Snap share

Ashton Jeanty's other Week 4 props

More NFL prop research

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.