Amon-Ra St. Brown Receptions Prop — Week 4

WR · DET vs CAR · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 1

6 of 10cleared 6.5 receptions in his last 10 (two seasons)
6.5Week 4 line
6Model median
46%Model over
48ProprScore

Model read: Amon-Ra St. Brown projects 6 catches (median), 0.5 under the 6.5 line — the model leans under. Soft spot: a volatile role. Research signal — not a bet.

Amon-Ra St. Brown vs the 6.5 line — last 10 games

WeekOppRecTgtResult
Wk 3NYJ48UNDER
Wk 2BUF913OVER
Wk 1NO1014OVER
25 wk18CHI1115OVER
25 wk17MIN813OVER
25 wk16PIT49UNDER
25 wk15LA1318OVER
25 wk14DAL69UNDER
25 wk13GB01UNDER
25 wk12NYG913OVER

Graded against this week's 6.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

31.8%Share of team throws
10.9Targets / game
86%Routes run
8Avg depth of target
79.2Yards / game
86%Snap share

Amon-Ra St. Brown's other Week 4 props

More NFL prop research

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.