How often has Amon-Ra St. Brown gone over 77.5 receiving yards?

Amon-Ra St. Brown has cleared 77.5 receiving yards in 5 of his last 10 games (spanning two seasons).

What is Amon-Ra St. Brown's receiving yards line in Week 4?

Amon-Ra St. Brown's Week 4 receiving yards line is 77.5 against CAR. The ProprStats model projects 66.7 (median).

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receiving Yards Prop — Week 4

WR · DET vs CAR · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 1

5 of 10cleared 77.5 receiving yards in his last 10 (two seasons)

77.5Week 4 line

66.7Model median

41%Model over

47ProprScore

Model read: Amon-Ra St. Brown projects 67 rec yds (median), 10.8 under the 77.5 line — the model leans under. Its yards projection is lifted most by how many teammates are also drawing targets (+5.3 yds) and pulled down by yards per target the defense allows (-11.1 yds). Soft spot: a volatile role. Research signal — not a bet.

Amon-Ra St. Brown vs the 77.5 line — last 10 games

Week	Opp	Yds	Tgt	Result
Wk 3	NYJ	19	8	UNDER
Wk 2	BUF	142	13	OVER
Wk 1	NO	67	14	UNDER
25 wk18	CHI	139	15	OVER
25 wk17	MIN	68	13	UNDER
25 wk16	PIT	54	9	UNDER
25 wk15	LA	164	18	OVER
25 wk14	DAL	92	9	OVER
25 wk13	GB	0	1	UNDER
25 wk12	NYG	149	13	OVER

Graded against this week's 77.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

31.8%Share of team throws

10.9Targets / game

86%Routes run

8Avg depth of target

79.2Yards / game

86%Snap share

Amon-Ra St. Brown's other Week 4 props

ReceptionsLine 6.5 Anytime TouchdownLine 0.5

More NFL prop research

TD ZoneScoring field map, red-zone target share, goal-line usage Props BoardEvery Week 4 prop ranked Amon-Ra St. Brown overviewAll props, usage and matchup

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.