AJ Barner Receptions Prop — Week 4

TE · SEA vs LAC · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 1

3 of 10cleared 3.5 receptions in his last 10 (two seasons)
3.5Week 4 line
3Model median
34%Model over
58ProprScore

Model read: AJ Barner projects 3 catches (median), 0.5 under the 3.5 line — the model leans under. Research signal — not a bet.

AJ Barner vs the 3.5 line — last 10 games

WeekOppRecTgtResult
Wk 3WAS59OVER
Wk 2ARI11UNDER
Wk 1NE22UNDER
25 wk18SF23UNDER
25 wk17CAR33UNDER
25 wk16LA46OVER
25 wk15IND36UNDER
25 wk14ATL34UNDER
25 wk13MIN45OVER
25 wk12TEN24UNDER

Graded against this week's 3.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

13.8%Share of team throws
4Targets / game
82%Routes run
2.9Avg depth of target
30.3Yards / game
82%Snap share

AJ Barner's other Week 4 props

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Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.