How the Matchup Score Is Calculated
Pitch-Type Matrix (65%)
Willi Castro's Statcast wOBA vs each pitch type in Jesús Luzardo's arsenal, weighted by usage rate.
Platoon Adjustment (±10)
Willi Castro's batting avg vs Left relative to their season average.
H2H Career History (±8)
Career batting average when Willi Castro has faced Jesús Luzardo before, sample-weighted.
Pitcher Quality (±7)
Jesús Luzardo's ERA and WHIP relative to league average — poor ERA pitchers boost the batter score.
Recency Trends (0-25)
Willi Castro's last 10 and last 5 games: hits/game, batting avg, HR streak, and multi-hit frequency.
Park & Weather (±7)
Ballpark run and HR factors, plus live wind/temperature from Open-Meteo.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the matchup score for Willi Castro vs Jesús Luzardo?
The ProprStats matchup score for Willi Castro vs Jesús Luzardo on 2026-05-08 is 31/100. No strong edge This score combines Statcast pitch-type data, platoon splits, career H2H history, recency trends, and park/weather adjustments.
How does Jesús Luzardo's pitch arsenal affect Willi Castro's hits prop?
ProprStats analyses Willi Castro's wOBA vs each pitch type Jesús Luzardo throws, weighted by usage %. If Willi Castro has a high wOBA vs Jesús Luzardo's primary pitch, that's a strong signal for the hits prop over. The full pitch-type breakdown is available inside the ProprStats matchup analyzer.
What are the key stats to know for Willi Castro vs Jesús Luzardo?
Key stats for this matchup: Willi Castro's platoon split AVG vs Left, hard-hit rate, wOBA vs primary pitch type, and L10 batting trend. For Jesús Luzardo: ERA, WHIP, K/9, HR/9, and pitch usage mix. ProprStats calculates a 0-100 score combining all of these into a single matchup rating.
Related Guides
Get the full Willi Castro vs Jesús Luzardo breakdown
ProprStats shows the complete pitch-type matrix, L10 trends, platoon splits, and prop recommendation — free to try.
Try ProprStats Free →