How often has Tyler Shough gone over 256.5 passing yards?

Tyler Shough has cleared 256.5 passing yards in 5 of his last 10 games.

What is Tyler Shough's passing yards line in Week 4?

Tyler Shough's Week 4 passing yards line is 256.5 against ATL. The ProprStats model projects 250 (median).

Tyler Shough Passing Yards Prop — Week 4

QB · NO vs ATL · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 1

5 of 10cleared 256.5 passing yards in his last 10

256.5Week 4 line

250Model median

47%Model over

49ProprScore

Model read: Tyler Shough projects 250 pass yds (median), 6.5 under the 256.5 line — the model leans under. Its yards projection is lifted most by receiver efficiency (+19.0 yds) and pulled down by team pass volume (-92.6 yds). Soft spot: a volatile role. Research signal — not a bet.

Tyler Shough vs the 256.5 line — last 10 games

Week	Opp	Yds	Tgt	Result
25 wk18	ATL	259	—	OVER
25 wk17	TEN	333	—	OVER
25 wk16	NYJ	308	—	OVER
25 wk15	CAR	272	—	OVER
25 wk14	TB	144	—	UNDER
25 wk13	MIA	239	—	UNDER
25 wk12	ATL	243	—	UNDER
25 wk10	CAR	282	—	OVER
25 wk9	LA	176	—	UNDER
25 wk8	TB	128	—	UNDER

Graded against this week's 256.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

8.3Avg depth of target

More NFL prop research

TD ZoneScoring field map, red-zone target share, goal-line usage Props BoardEvery Week 4 prop ranked Tyler Shough overviewAll props, usage and matchup

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.