Tyler Higbee Receiving Yards Prop — Week 4

TE · LA vs PHI · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 4

4 of 10cleared 29.5 receiving yards in his last 10 (two seasons)
29.5Week 4 line
20.2Model median
33%Model over
72ProprScore

Model read: Tyler Higbee projects 20 rec yds (median), 9.3 under the 29.5 line — the model leans under. Its yards projection is lifted most by average target depth and yards after the catch (+2.5 yds) and pulled down by how many teammates are also drawing targets (-6.6 yds). Research signal — not a bet.

Tyler Higbee vs the 29.5 line — last 10 games

WeekOppYdsTgtResult
Wk 3DEN6211OVER
Wk 1SF122UNDER
25 wk18ARI916OVER
25 wk11SEA232UNDER
25 wk10SF333OVER
25 wk9NO134UNDER
25 wk7JAX196UNDER
25 wk6BAL404OVER
25 wk4IND255UNDER
25 wk3PHI02UNDER

Graded against this week's 29.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

14.2%Share of team throws
5Targets / game
47%Routes run
6.4Avg depth of target
32.5Yards / game
47%Snap share

Tyler Higbee's other Week 4 props

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Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.