How often has Tyjae Spears gone over 2.5 receptions?

Tyjae Spears has cleared 2.5 receptions in 4 of his last 10 games (spanning two seasons).

What is Tyjae Spears's receptions line in Week 4?

Tyjae Spears's Week 4 receptions line is 2.5 against BAL. The ProprStats model projects 1 (median).

Tyjae Spears Receptions Prop — Week 4

RB · TEN vs BAL · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 2

4 of 10cleared 2.5 receptions in his last 10 (two seasons)

2.5Week 4 line

1Model median

22%Model over

75ProprScore

Model read: Tyjae Spears projects 1 catches (median), 1.5 under the 2.5 line — the model leans under. ⚠ Listed Questionable: ~69% play-probability, so the workload is trimmed and the outcomes carry real mass at zero — treat with caution. Soft spot: an unresolved injury status. Research signal — not a bet.

Tyjae Spears vs the 2.5 line — last 10 games

Week	Opp	Rec	Tgt	Result
Wk 3	NYG	0	0	UNDER
Wk 2	PHI	2	2	UNDER
Wk 1	NYJ	2	4	UNDER
25 wk18	JAX	7	7	OVER
25 wk17	NO	1	2	UNDER
25 wk16	KC	5	5	OVER
25 wk15	SF	2	2	UNDER
25 wk14	CLE	2	4	UNDER
25 wk13	JAX	6	6	OVER
25 wk12	SEA	4	5	OVER

Graded against this week's 2.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

9.8%Share of team throws

2.9Targets / game

45%Routes run

-2.1Avg depth of target

17Yards / game

45%Snap share

Tyjae Spears's other Week 4 props

Receiving YardsLine 13.5

More NFL prop research

TD ZoneScoring field map, red-zone target share, goal-line usage Props BoardEvery Week 4 prop ranked Tyjae Spears overviewAll props, usage and matchup

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.