Model read: Tucker Kraft projects 45 rec yds (median), 3.2 over the 41.5 line — the model leans over. Its yards projection is lifted most by how many teammates are also drawing targets (+14.4 yds) and pulled down by average target depth and yards after the catch (-15.6 yds). Soft spot: a volatile role. Research signal — not a bet.
| Week | Opp | Yds | Tgt | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | ATL | 26 | 8 | UNDER |
| Wk 2 | NYJ | 15 | 3 | UNDER |
| Wk 1 | MIN | 65 | 6 | OVER |
| 25 wk9 | CAR | 20 | 3 | UNDER |
| 25 wk8 | PIT | 143 | 9 | OVER |
| 25 wk7 | ARI | 58 | 10 | OVER |
| 25 wk6 | CIN | 43 | 2 | OVER |
| 25 wk4 | DAL | 56 | 5 | OVER |
| 25 wk3 | CLE | 29 | 4 | UNDER |
| 25 wk2 | WAS | 124 | 7 | OVER |
Graded against this week's 41.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.
Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.