Model read: Treylon Burks projects 12 rec yds (median), 3.0 under the 15.5 line — the model leans under. Its yards projection is lifted most by his team's pass volume vs. last season (+7.1 yds) and pulled down by how many teammates are also drawing targets (-2.9 yds). Research signal — not a bet.
| Week | Opp | Yds | Tgt | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | SEA | 13 | 2 | UNDER |
| Wk 2 | DAL | 0 | 1 | UNDER |
| 25 wk18 | PHI | 12 | 4 | UNDER |
| 25 wk17 | DAL | 11 | 2 | UNDER |
| 25 wk16 | PHI | 30 | 5 | OVER |
| 25 wk15 | NYG | 0 | 2 | UNDER |
| 25 wk14 | MIN | 0 | 1 | UNDER |
| 25 wk13 | DEN | 5 | 4 | UNDER |
| 25 wk10 | DET | 58 | 3 | OVER |
| 25 wk9 | SEA | 14 | 1 | UNDER |
Graded against this week's 15.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.
Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.