Trey McBride Receiving Yards Prop — Week 4

TE · ARI vs NYG · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 1

6 of 10cleared 66.5 receiving yards in his last 10 (two seasons)
66.5Week 4 line
46Model median
27%Model over
78ProprScore

Model read: Trey McBride projects 46 rec yds (median), 20.5 under the 66.5 line — the model leans under. Its yards projection is lifted most by average target depth and yards after the catch (+2.4 yds) and pulled down by how many teammates are also drawing targets (-12.4 yds). Research signal — not a bet.

Trey McBride vs the 66.5 line — last 10 games

WeekOppYdsTgtResult
Wk 3SF7511OVER
Wk 2SEA4110UNDER
Wk 1LAC9513OVER
25 wk18LA658UNDER
25 wk17CIN7613OVER
25 wk16ATL278UNDER
25 wk15HOU13413OVER
25 wk14LA589UNDER
25 wk13TB829OVER
25 wk12JAX7910OVER

Graded against this week's 66.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

28.7%Share of team throws
10.6Targets / game
89%Routes run
6Avg depth of target
71.6Yards / game
89%Snap share

Trey McBride's other Week 4 props

More NFL prop research

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.