Model read: Trey McBride projects 46 rec yds (median), 20.5 under the 66.5 line — the model leans under. Its yards projection is lifted most by average target depth and yards after the catch (+2.4 yds) and pulled down by how many teammates are also drawing targets (-12.4 yds). Research signal — not a bet.
| Week | Opp | Yds | Tgt | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | SF | 75 | 11 | OVER |
| Wk 2 | SEA | 41 | 10 | UNDER |
| Wk 1 | LAC | 95 | 13 | OVER |
| 25 wk18 | LA | 65 | 8 | UNDER |
| 25 wk17 | CIN | 76 | 13 | OVER |
| 25 wk16 | ATL | 27 | 8 | UNDER |
| 25 wk15 | HOU | 134 | 13 | OVER |
| 25 wk14 | LA | 58 | 9 | UNDER |
| 25 wk13 | TB | 82 | 9 | OVER |
| 25 wk12 | JAX | 79 | 10 | OVER |
Graded against this week's 66.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.
Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.