How often has Trevor Lawrence gone over 260.5 passing yards?

Trevor Lawrence has cleared 260.5 passing yards in 3 of his last 10 games.

What is Trevor Lawrence's passing yards line in Week 4?

Trevor Lawrence's Week 4 passing yards line is 260.5 against CIN. The ProprStats model projects 280.8 (median).

Trevor Lawrence Passing Yards Prop — Week 4

QB · JAX vs CIN · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 1

3 of 10cleared 260.5 passing yards in his last 10

260.5Week 4 line

280.8Model median

60%Model over

63ProprScore

Model read: Trevor Lawrence projects 281 pass yds (median), 20.3 over the 260.5 line — the model leans over. Its yards projection is lifted most by receiver efficiency (+24.8 yds). Research signal — not a bet.

Trevor Lawrence vs the 260.5 line — last 10 games

Week	Opp	Yds	Tgt	Result
25 wk18	TEN	255	—	UNDER
25 wk17	IND	263	—	OVER
25 wk16	DEN	279	—	OVER
25 wk15	NYJ	330	—	OVER
25 wk14	IND	244	—	UNDER
25 wk13	TEN	229	—	UNDER
25 wk12	ARI	256	—	UNDER
25 wk11	LAC	153	—	UNDER
25 wk10	HOU	158	—	UNDER
25 wk9	LV	220	—	UNDER

Graded against this week's 260.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

8.7Avg depth of target

More NFL prop research

TD ZoneScoring field map, red-zone target share, goal-line usage Props BoardEvery Week 4 prop ranked Trevor Lawrence overviewAll props, usage and matchup

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.