Model read: TreVeyon Henderson projects 9 rec yds (median), 1.6 over the 7.5 line — the model leans over. Its yards projection is lifted most by average target depth and yards after the catch (+1.9 yds) and pulled down by yards per target the defense allows (-1.3 yds). Research signal — not a bet.
| Week | Opp | Yds | Tgt | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | JAX | 6 | 1 | UNDER |
| Wk 2 | PIT | 0 | 0 | UNDER |
| 25 wk18 | MIA | 0 | 0 | UNDER |
| 25 wk17 | NYJ | 0 | 0 | UNDER |
| 25 wk16 | BAL | 9 | 1 | OVER |
| 25 wk15 | BUF | 13 | 3 | OVER |
| 25 wk13 | NYG | 19 | 4 | OVER |
| 25 wk12 | CIN | 15 | 4 | OVER |
| 25 wk11 | NYJ | 31 | 5 | OVER |
| 25 wk10 | TB | 3 | 1 | UNDER |
Graded against this week's 7.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.
Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.