Model read: Tre Tucker projects 49 rec yds (median), 10.6 over the 38.5 line — the model leans over. Its yards projection is lifted most by his team's pass volume vs. last season (+7.5 yds) and pulled down by yards per target the defense allows (-9.4 yds). Research signal — not a bet.
| Week | Opp | Yds | Tgt | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | NO | 43 | 4 | OVER |
| Wk 2 | LAC | 119 | 7 | OVER |
| Wk 1 | MIA | 27 | 4 | UNDER |
| 25 wk18 | KC | 30 | 6 | UNDER |
| 25 wk17 | NYG | 49 | 6 | OVER |
| 25 wk16 | HOU | 43 | 5 | OVER |
| 25 wk15 | PHI | 0 | 3 | UNDER |
| 25 wk14 | DEN | 24 | 5 | UNDER |
| 25 wk13 | LAC | 20 | 3 | UNDER |
| 25 wk12 | CLE | 28 | 10 | UNDER |
Graded against this week's 38.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.
Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.