Model read: Tory Horton projects 15 rec yds (median), 3.3 over the 11.5 line — the model leans over. Its yards projection is lifted most by his team's pass volume vs. last season (+2.5 yds) and pulled down by yards per target the defense allows (-13.2 yds). Research signal — not a bet.
| Week | Opp | Yds | Tgt | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | WAS | 48 | 3 | OVER |
| 25 wk9 | WAS | 48 | 4 | OVER |
| 25 wk7 | HOU | 0 | 3 | UNDER |
| 25 wk6 | JAX | 0 | 1 | UNDER |
| 25 wk5 | TB | 39 | 4 | OVER |
| 25 wk4 | ARI | 10 | 2 | UNDER |
| 25 wk3 | NO | 32 | 4 | OVER |
| 25 wk2 | PIT | 32 | 4 | OVER |
| 25 wk1 | SF | 0 | 0 | UNDER |
Graded against this week's 11.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.
Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.