Tory Horton Receiving Yards Prop — Week 4

WR · SEA vs LAC · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 2

5 of 9cleared 11.5 receiving yards in his last 9 (two seasons)
11.5Week 4 line
14.8Model median
57%Model over
55ProprScore

Model read: Tory Horton projects 15 rec yds (median), 3.3 over the 11.5 line — the model leans over. Its yards projection is lifted most by his team's pass volume vs. last season (+2.5 yds) and pulled down by yards per target the defense allows (-13.2 yds). Research signal — not a bet.

Tory Horton vs the 11.5 line — last 9 games

WeekOppYdsTgtResult
Wk 3WAS483OVER
25 wk9WAS484OVER
25 wk7HOU03UNDER
25 wk6JAX01UNDER
25 wk5TB394OVER
25 wk4ARI102UNDER
25 wk3NO324OVER
25 wk2PIT324OVER
25 wk1SF00UNDER

Graded against this week's 11.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

8.6%Share of team throws
2.9Targets / game
37%Routes run
15Avg depth of target
34.1Yards / game
37%Snap share

Tory Horton's other Week 4 props

More NFL prop research

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.