Tommy Tremble Receiving Yards Prop — Week 4

TE · CAR vs DET · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 2

5 of 10cleared 12.5 receiving yards in his last 10 (two seasons)
12.5Week 4 line
12.5Model median
50%Model over
37ProprScore

Model read: Tommy Tremble projects 12 rec yds (median), right on the 12.5 line — the model leans even. Its yards projection is lifted most by his team's pass volume vs. last season (+1.8 yds) and pulled down by yards per target the defense allows (-3.5 yds). Research signal — not a bet.

Tommy Tremble vs the 12.5 line — last 10 games

WeekOppYdsTgtResult
Wk 3CLE414OVER
Wk 2ATL42UNDER
Wk 1CHI255OVER
25 wk18TB384OVER
25 wk17SEA61UNDER
25 wk16TB61UNDER
25 wk15NO134OVER
25 wk13LA22UNDER
25 wk11ATL542OVER
25 wk9GB01UNDER

Graded against this week's 12.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

9.4%Share of team throws
3.1Targets / game
57%Routes run
5.2Avg depth of target
20Yards / game
57%Snap share

Tommy Tremble's other Week 4 props

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Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.