Model read: Terry McLaurin projects 43 rec yds (median), 9.5 under the 52.5 line — the model leans under. Its yards projection is lifted most by his team's pass volume vs. last season (+9.9 yds) and pulled down by how many teammates are also drawing targets (-17.7 yds). Research signal — not a bet.
| Week | Opp | Yds | Tgt | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | SEA | 77 | 9 | OVER |
| Wk 2 | DAL | 50 | 9 | UNDER |
| Wk 1 | PHI | 14 | 4 | UNDER |
| 25 wk18 | PHI | 57 | 4 | OVER |
| 25 wk17 | DAL | 63 | 7 | OVER |
| 25 wk16 | PHI | 53 | 4 | OVER |
| 25 wk15 | NYG | 69 | 4 | OVER |
| 25 wk14 | MIN | 41 | 6 | UNDER |
| 25 wk13 | DEN | 96 | 14 | OVER |
| 25 wk8 | KC | 54 | 4 | OVER |
Graded against this week's 52.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.
Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.