Terry McLaurin Receiving Yards Prop — Week 4

WR · WAS vs IND · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 1

7 of 10cleared 52.5 receiving yards in his last 10 (two seasons)
52.5Week 4 line
43Model median
40%Model over
62ProprScore

Model read: Terry McLaurin projects 43 rec yds (median), 9.5 under the 52.5 line — the model leans under. Its yards projection is lifted most by his team's pass volume vs. last season (+9.9 yds) and pulled down by how many teammates are also drawing targets (-17.7 yds). Research signal — not a bet.

Terry McLaurin vs the 52.5 line — last 10 games

WeekOppYdsTgtResult
Wk 3SEA779OVER
Wk 2DAL509UNDER
Wk 1PHI144UNDER
25 wk18PHI574OVER
25 wk17DAL637OVER
25 wk16PHI534OVER
25 wk15NYG694OVER
25 wk14MIN416UNDER
25 wk13DEN9614OVER
25 wk8KC544OVER

Graded against this week's 52.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

23.5%Share of team throws
6.7Targets / game
74%Routes run
13.5Avg depth of target
52.6Yards / game
74%Snap share

Terry McLaurin's other Week 4 props

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Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.